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Author Topic:   Kabul - The smoke is clearing
Lothar
Pilot
posted 11-14- 01:02 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Lothar     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Just heard on the radio a report from Kabul - the people there are expressing gratetude for the American campaign, and are calling Americans great, saying that our bombing was killing the Taliban for which they are grateful.

Hopefully we can get aid in there now, before winter sets in. Hopefully a Government can be formed from the people which also believes in liberty and tolerance.

I think we are finding that the average Afgahni doesn't hate us as much as the Taliban was reporting.

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Sv
JAG
posted 11-14- 01:30 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Sv   Click Here to Email Sv     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
You mean how much we were reporting. It seems that the Taliban had a good eye for propaganda... and we were happy to report it... look at the Pakistan demonstrations as well- manufactured by the Taliban until Pakistan closed the embasy.

I like seeing the guys shaving their beards... but after seeing some of them, maybe they should leave their beards on... WHOAAA!

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-Sv

Wings with Wires

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Smokey
Pilot
posted 11-14- 03:11 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Smokey   Click Here to Email Smokey     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
The only thing is these Taliban are going to
crawl off into the hills and be a danger as
well as ready to seize power back at any time.
I'm afraid we are going to be stuck with an
Afghan problem for quite a while.

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nealg
Pilot
posted 11-14- 11:18 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for nealg   Click Here to Email nealg     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I'm sure greater minds than mine have already taken this into consideration, but it's been my thinking that a retreating enemy that doesn't surrender can be a very dangerous enemy.

I am happy for those folks who feel liberated and free now to express themselves, but it may be a bit soon for them to celebrate. And there is still the small matter of getting the guy we went there to get.

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nealg=FC=

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Jerry
Pilot
posted 11-15- 12:51 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Jerry   Click Here to Email Jerry     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
quote:
Originally posted by nealg:
I'm sure greater minds than mine have already taken this into consideration, but it's been my thinking that a retreating enemy that doesn't surrender can be a very dangerous enemy.


Like the Iraqi army on the highway of death?

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Werner Molders
JAG
posted 11-15- 12:58 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Werner Molders   Click Here to Email Werner Molders     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
nealg is bang on. Take the Russians in Chechnya, this is pretty much the same thing that's going to happen in Afghanistan.

I tend to disagree with you Jerry, before the Gulf War Iraq had one of the biggest mechanized armies in the world (4th largest, I believe). Even if most of the equipment was a couple decades out of date, it was still more 'modern' than Datsuns with RPGs mounted on the back. I'm sure the bombing will take out heavy pieces and the odd Taliban tank, but frankly I think their strength lies in the number of otherwise indistinguishable Afghans with Kalashnikovs in their ranks. Look how few armed Palestinians it takes to keep destabilizing the peace process in the Middle East, and they don't have the cave infrastructure. When I hear about the number and complexity of the caves in Afghanistan, I can't help but think they must be like the NVA/VC tunnels, deluxe-style.

Werner

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Abbeville Field: Dedicated to the SDOE Experience.

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nealg
Pilot
posted 11-15- 03:45 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for nealg   Click Here to Email nealg     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I agree, Werner. After all, we haven't rooted out Bin Laden yet ( although I am sure when he is 'in solitude' he isn't a real happy guy ) and now the Taliban is dropping down into the prairie dog city. In WWII, retreating Japanese were terrors; the Cong were retreating 'experts'; even in our own USA, Lincoln's Armies had Lee 'on the run', but it cost them dearly. And Houston's little Texas army had quite a retreat in the Texas War for 'Independence' from Mexico. And didn't WWII also feature a little episode we call ' Battle of the Bulge'?

My memory of Desert Storm may be a bit faulty, but I think by the time the 'highway of death' incidents occurred, quite a bit of the Iraqi 'army' had already surrendered. I may be mistaken, though. I tend to relegate Desert Storm to a different type of war altogether, as we never went after the enemy 'base' in full force. In a way, I am glad for our military personnel sometimes that we didn't go on to Bagdad - it might have gotten very ugly, and might still be going on.

But as I said, I am sure better minds than mine have already considered it. I would hope there is a way to neutralize the Taliban completely, but if there is, it might be very difficult. I just don't want to see people's joy turn to sorrow, as I am sure there are plenty of decent people in Afghanistan who sorely deserve to have this yoke lifted. To know that it can't be put back, then is reason to really celebrate.

But mainly, to know that this first strike at terrorism is hard enough to send a message to all of them would be a great reason to celebrate. Somehow, I don't feel that has been accomplished yet. So, I tend to be a bit cautious.

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nealg=FC=

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Werner Molders
JAG
posted 11-15- 10:15 AM     Click Here to See the Profile for Werner Molders   Click Here to Email Werner Molders     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
The other problem is that the Northern Alliance aren't exactly the most swell bunch themselves. The emphasis there is Alliance - they're a group of clans opposed to the Taliban (today..) cobbled together fighting them. The last time they held Kabul for any period of time, the city was racked with sporadic violence and inter-clan warfare. Mogadishu, anyone?

Well, in other news they've put the PPCLI (my city's regiment, until they got moved to save money) on 48 hours notice, 1000 troops in all. The word "Peacekeeping" or derivations thereof haven't crossed the lips of anyone in Ottawa either, so it looks like they could be joining troops from the UK, Denmark and elsewhere in some sort of police action.

Werner

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Abbeville Field: Dedicated to the SDOE Experience.

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Jerry
Pilot
posted 11-15- 12:26 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Jerry   Click Here to Email Jerry     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
A week ago a lot of people (McCain, mainstream press, etc.) were complaining about how poorly the war was going, how slow it was going and how it would take 50,000 US ground troops to uproot the Taliban.

Now everyone is complaining about how dangerous they are when retreating and hiding in the hills. If they are reduced to a handfull of guerillas hiding in caves with no popular support, who cares? Untill we get bin Laden, the caves are going to be targets so let them suffer the consequences.

After letting Iraq off the hook, I don't think the US is going to let them run away with all their weapons to start another war later. If nothing else, we want to show other governments what will happen to them if they continue supporting terrorism. My guess is that we will make an example of the Taliban for all the world to see.

Did anyone read Clancy's book about the ebola attack on the US? Remember what happened to the bin Laden type guy behind the whole thing? Let's just say his end wasn't covert, the whole world was watching. Same thing here. Mark my words.

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Werner Molders
JAG
posted 11-15- 07:25 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Werner Molders   Click Here to Email Werner Molders     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
I'm not complaining about how dangerous they are, I think like nealg and Smokey I think we as a people need to temper our glee with the knowledge that this isn't over yet, not by a long shot.

As for Iraq... It serves our strategic interest as Middle-East-oil-dependant Western countries to have Saddam in his little cage where we can toss a few bombs at him every couple of weeks and have a perennial bad guy in the area so the fence-sitters like Saudi Arabia stay on side. As brutal as it is to say it, from a strategic point of view we need Iraq as a whipping boy more than we need it for oil. I think a better solution would be to become more self-sufficient for oil instead of relying on those countries as much as we do, because on the long term that kind of policy is what leads to the Osama bin Ladens of the world. The trouble with knocking off Saddam is that none of the people who would replace him are any better... better the devil you know than the devil you don't. As for our oil dependence, the Oilsands in the Athabaska region for instance, hold more oil than all of Saudi's reserves. Trouble is they're a bit harder to access, but companies like Shell and Suncor are changing that.

Werner

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Abbeville Field: Dedicated to the SDOE Experience.

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Lothar
Pilot
posted 11-15- 08:14 PM     Click Here to See the Profile for Lothar     Edit/Delete Message   Reply w/Quote
Terrorism isn't over, but I think that Afgahnistan as a petri dish for terrorism IS over. Jerry's right - if al Quada is hiding in caves, we don't have much to worry about. If a sympathetic government is in charge in Afganistan, and bin Laden tries to set up a training camp in front of his cave, we sent an A-10 over and school's over.

We will have to live with a residual level of terrorism from groups too small to notice before they act. This could come from a Mosque in Jersey City, an apartment building in Berlin, or a cave in Afgahnistan.

Other countries will have to be next - state sponsored terrorism doesn't end with Afgahnistan. However, eliminating the Afgahn state which sponsored bin Laden is a good first step.

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